Southampton’s struggles continued last week with a 3-1 loss to Bournemouth, further pushing them toward relegation.
Manager Ivan Jurić didn’t hold back in his assessment, admitting his side is “missing a little bit of everything.” This sentiment is especially evident in their performances at home, where Southampton has endured a tough run, losing seven consecutive Premier League matches. Throughout this slump, they’ve conceded three or more goals in six of those defeats, showcasing serious defensive vulnerabilities.
The Saints’ poor form at home has them on the verge of a notorious record. Only three teams in Premier League history have suffered eight straight home defeats, and Southampton could join that unfortunate group unless they improve quickly. To make matters worse, their recent record against Brighton hasn’t been encouraging either. After going unbeaten in their first seven encounters with the Seagulls (three wins and four draws), Southampton has failed to secure a victory in the last six meetings (three draws and three losses).
Brighton, on the other hand, will be feeling confident heading into this clash. Their travels to St Mary’s have been fruitful over the years, with the Seagulls remaining unbeaten in the Premier League at Southampton’s ground. With two wins and four draws, Brighton will look to continue this strong run as they seek to extend their unbeaten streak at St Mary’s. Manager Fabian Hürzeler will be particularly keen to maintain their momentum after a crucial 3-0 victory over Chelsea last week, which came on the back of a humbling 7-0 defeat to Nottingham Forest in their previous away match.
The victory over Chelsea seems to have served as a much-needed confidence booster for Brighton, putting that heavy defeat at Forest firmly behind them. Prior to that loss, the Seagulls had enjoyed a six-match unbeaten away run across all competitions (three wins and three draws). This solid form on the road, coupled with their attacking prowess, makes them a dangerous side. The forwards will be licking their lips at the prospect of facing Southampton, whose defense has been the leakiest in the division heading into this round.
Southampton will need to tighten up defensively if they are to avoid another heavy defeat. Brighton, however, will likely focus on exploiting the Saints’ vulnerabilities. Players like Kaoru Mitoma could be key for the Seagulls, with the winger enjoying an excellent run of form. His goal against Chelsea was a contender for goal of the season, and it took his tally to five goal contributions in his last six appearances across all competitions (four goals and one assist). This impressive form highlights Mitoma’s growing influence in Brighton’s attack.
In contrast, Southampton’s Kamaldeen Sulemana also found the back of the net last week, scoring his first Premier League goal of the season against Bournemouth. This goal, along with his recent form, will be vital for Southampton’s hopes of turning their fortunes around. Sulemana has now scored in five consecutive home matches, making him one to watch as Southampton desperately needs their attacking players to step up.
As Southampton fights to improve its fortunes, the team will have to find a way to get more out of their attacking players while also shoring up their defense. Brighton, meanwhile, will be looking to build on their recent successes and capitalize on their superior form. Given Southampton’s struggles, this could be a crucial match for the Saints to avoid further damage to their Premier League survival hopes.
Statistically speaking, Southampton’s situation is worrying. Only Tottenham has dropped more points from winning positions than Southampton this season, with the Saints having squandered 20 points from winning positions. This tendency to collapse in matches is something that Jurić and his team must address urgently if they are to have any hope of surviving in the top flight. Brighton’s ability to finish strong could exploit this weakness, making the task even more difficult for Southampton.
Ultimately, this match is a must-win for Southampton if they are to stand any chance of escaping relegation. Brighton, meanwhile, will be keen to keep their positive momentum going and continue their strong record against the Saints. With both teams desperate for points, fans can expect an intriguing battle on the south coast.
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