The Premier League relegation battle appears to be narrowing down to just four teams, and unfortunately for Leicester City, they are among them.
Sitting in 18th place, the Foxes are just a point behind Wolves, who currently occupy the last safe spot in 17th. However, overtaking their Midlands rivals before Sunday won’t be a straightforward task. Leicester must first overcome an Arsenal side that has dominated their recent encounters, with the Gunners winning each of their last six top-flight meetings.
Leicester’s recent home form offers little encouragement ahead of this fixture. They have suffered four consecutive league defeats at the King Power Stadium without scoring a single goal, a worrying trend that puts them on the verge of unwanted history. Only three teams in top-flight history have ever lost five straight home matches without finding the net in the same campaign. Considering that Leicester have struggled against the league’s stronger sides this season, the challenge looks even greater. They have been beaten in ten of their eleven league games against teams that started the round in ninth place or higher, though they did at least manage to score in seven of those losses.
While Leicester’s predicament looks increasingly dire, Arsenal are experiencing a far more positive spell. The Gunners are currently unbeaten in 14 Premier League matches, their longest run since the 2010/11 campaign under Arsène Wenger. A weekend off due to their FA Cup exit provided them with a valuable opportunity to recharge, particularly after their disappointment in the Carabao Cup semi-finals against Newcastle. That brief break could prove beneficial as they aim to extend their impressive league form.
Mikel Arteta’s side did stumble in their last outing, suffering a 2-0 defeat at St. James’ Park, which brought an end to a strong run of nine away matches without a loss. Interestingly, despite that spell of dominance on the road, Arsenal kept just one clean sheet across those games. Even so, history suggests they will have little trouble bouncing back. Arteta’s men have made a habit of dispatching relegation-threatened sides, winning 21 of their last 25 Premier League matches against teams positioned in the bottom three at the time of the fixture.
For Leicester, finding inspiration will be crucial, and few players have tormented Arsenal more than Jamie Vardy. The experienced forward has netted 11 league goals against the Gunners, a tally surpassed only by Harry Kane and Wayne Rooney. If Leicester are to trouble the visitors, Vardy could be the key figure once again, though he will need support from his teammates in a game where clear-cut chances may be hard to come by.
On the other side, Arsenal’s creative spark could once again come from Martin Ødegaard. The Norwegian midfielder has shown a knack for scoring at crucial moments, including in the previous round when he opened the scoring for Arsenal. Interestingly, he also netted the first goal in last season’s matchday 25 fixture away from home against Burnley, a side that won the Championship the previous season. That quirky bit of symmetry offers an intriguing subplot ahead of this contest.
Leicester’s defensive frailties have been a major concern all season, and their struggles at home have only amplified those issues. They have conceded at least twice in eight of their last nine league matches at the King Power, a statistic that highlights the scale of the task they face against one of the league’s most dangerous attacking sides.
Ultimately, this fixture represents a meeting of two teams at very different ends of the confidence spectrum. Arsenal are pushing for a top-four finish, while Leicester are scrambling to avoid relegation. With the Foxes’ poor record against high-flying opponents and Arsenal’s ruthless efficiency against struggling sides, it’s difficult to envision anything other than a tough afternoon for the home team. However, with survival on the line, Leicester may just find the fight needed to make things interesting.
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